Flat Future Predictions
#big-ideas
==Arthur C. Clarke said there are two reasons why you fail to anticipate the future: failure of nerve and failure of imagination.== The most common is failure of nerve. Despite all the facts, we cannot see the inescapable conclusion. It’s not that we cannot imagine it as a possibility, but that you fail to risk being wrong. We would rather fail to accept a thought that could be vilified for the future than risk the prediction being overblown or embarrassing in retrospect. Forecasting the future requires bold predictions. You’ll naturally bring skeptics.